Probate Court Candidate Goodman’s Fuzzy Math

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Catherine Goodman is using some fuzzy math to manipulate the results of the Tarrant County Bar Association (TCBA) Survey to declare herself the highest rated candidate. Goodman is the candidate for Judge, Probate Court 1 that almost didn’t make it on the ballot. She had to withdraw her application for a place on the ballot and reapply. Inside sources say this was due to problems with her petition signatures. Goodman has also struggled with her campaign finance compliance, as reported by Direct Action Texas. Now it looks like Goodman has chosen to manipulate the results of the TCBA Survey to boost her chances.

The Tarrant County Bar Association asked its members to rate each candidate as well qualified, qualified, or not qualified. If they didn’t know the candidate, they were instructed to answer, “No Opinion.” At first glance, Mark Sullivan has the highest rating with 25% well qualified versus Goodman’s 23.1% well qualified. If you look at the raw number of votes, Sullivan is still ahead with 151 well qualified to Goodman’s 139.

Goodman would like you to throw out the “No Opinion” votes and recalculate the percentages. That would skew the numbers in her favor, giving her 54% for well qualified to Sullivan’s 51%. However, that method is statistically insignificant. Remove the “No Opinion” vote and you are suddenly comparing apples to oranges. The results cannot be compared when there is now a different number of people voting in each candidate’s survey. If you wanted to properly discount the “No Opinion” voters you would have to compare the categories individually, as shown here. Those numbers still put Mark Sullivan on top.

Perhaps the more interesting numbers are not those of Goodman and Sullivan, but those of Patricia Cole. With 117 votes for “Not Qualified,” no matter which way you calculate it, she has the highest number in that category.

Catherine Goodman had difficulties following the law when applying for a position on the ballot, disregarded campaign finance laws, and is now manipulating results to show them in her favor. On the campaign trail she says she writes the law and that she knows the law, but can she follow the law?

Donations to this State Rep. Candidate are Tax Deductible?

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Carlos Antonio Raymond doesn’t need to be elected as State Representative for House District 117, he is already rewriting the laws for himself. This long time Democrat is on the Republican ballot in a swing district in Bexar County, on the Western side of San Antonio. He is running against C.P.A. Michael Berlanga. He perhaps should have asked his opponent’s advice before making his campaign signs. They boast that donations given to Raymond are “Tax Deductible Donations.” He either doesn’t know the law or has a complete disregard for it.

First of all, Raymond is a Democrat. He campaigned for Leticia Van De Putte against Dan Patrick for Lt. Governor and numerous other Democrat candidates. In 2015 he applied to be on the Democrat Primary ballot as a candidate for HD117 but was rejected. He then sued the Bexar County Democrat Chairman for wrongfully keeping him off the ballot. When the lawsuit failed, he ran as a write-in candidate in November of 2016. He received less than 1% of the vote.

Control of District 117 swings back and forth from Republican to Democrat depending on the cycle. Right now, the seat is held by a Democrat, so chances are the next to be elected will be a Republican. This could be why Raymond chose the GOP this time around, or maybe it is because he burned his bridges on the other side when he sued the Dem. County Chair. Either way, voters need to know that Carlos Antonio Raymond is a conservative of convenience, not principle.

One thing is clear, supporters of Carlos Antonio Raymond will not be able to deduct their campaign contributions from their taxes. Hopefully a competent accountant will clue them in, or they will get an unpleasant visit from the IRS. Perhaps Michael Berlanga could offer his services to these unfortunate victims. The District Attorney’s office may want to look into this as well. Is Raymond guilty of fraud for claiming his donations are tax deductible?

State Law: Separation of Campaign and State

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According to Facebook photos, Tarrant County Commissioner Roy Brooks’ campaign appears to be using county vehicles for campaign purposes.

The photos show Brooks’ Executive Assistant, Leon Polk, driving and posing with a county vehicle with campaign signs attached. We know that one was used in the 2018 MLK Day Parade in Downtown Fort Worth. The other, based on the date and location of the photo, was presumably used in the 2016 Juneteenth celebration. All elected officials should know that anything publicly funded cannot be used for campaigning. Elected officials must separate campaign and state–public resources cannot be used for campaign purposes.

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The Gloves Come Off in Tax Assessor-Collector Race

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A Tax Assessor-Collector’s race doesn’t usually get much notice, but this year’s Tarrant County four-way match up is attracting a lot of attention as Election Day nears and the gloves come off.

Over the last few days a poll has been running asking voters who they might choose in that race. Those who selected “Mike Snyder” as their candidate were directed to the following question “Would you change your vote if you knew that Mike Snyder does not pay his taxes?” It’s not a new accusation, but who is making it via a push poll? What is the real story?

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Desperate Times, Desperate Measures.

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Transparency won a small victory in the 141st District Court. Charlie Geren’s 2016 campaign operative, David Sorenson, will not be able to continue his delay tactics. David Sorenson must now appear in court before the March Primary, according to a February 2nd Motion to Compel. He will finally be on the record and under oath about his alleged attempt to sabotage the Bo French campaign with a false child abuse accusation. Sorenson’s testimony could reveal some very dirty politics sanctioned by the Geren campaign to destroy his opponent.

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